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On: December 12, 2025 In: Industry News

Please note: While we live and breathe Non-QM, we know the bigger picture matters. This update looks at the broader mortgage market because what’s happening out there impacts everyone—borrowers, brokers, and lenders alike.

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For much of the past year, mortgage brokers have been stuck explaining the same frustrating story:
the Fed cuts rates… but mortgage pricing refuses to cooperate.

That disconnect has made conversations harder with buyers, sellers, and investors alike. But after last week’s Fed meeting, that long-running trend finally showed signs of breaking — and that matters for your pipeline.

“Still don’t know what I was waiting for…”
David Bowie, “Changes”

Let’s break down what changed — and how brokers can use it.

 

The Fed Meeting: A “Hawkish” Cut — But a Better Outcome for Brokers

The Fed delivered a quarter-point rate cut, but the messaging around it was cautious. Chair Powell made it clear the Fed isn’t declaring victory on inflation and isn’t rushing into a rapid easing cycle.

Updated projections showed:

  • Stronger economic growth
  • Inflation continuing to trend toward target
  • Only one rate cut projected for 2026

In other words, this was a hawkish cut — easing on the surface, discipline underneath.

Why brokers should care

Even with the cautious tone, long-term rates responded better this time — unlike the last several Fed cuts where mortgage pricing moved the wrong way.

That shift matters more than the cut itself.

 

A Divided Fed = Volatility, Not Gridlock

The Fed is clearly split:

  • Some officials believe inflation is cooling fast enough
  • Others see an economy strong enough to stay restrictive longer

Despite better inflation data, the committee remains conservative — penciling in just one cut next year. That tells us uncertainty isn’t going away, but it also explains why markets are reacting more to signals than headlines.

Broker takeaway

This environment rewards brokers who:

  • Stay proactive with borrower communication
  • Re-run scenarios instead of waiting for “perfect” conditions
  • Lean on flexible loan programs that don’t depend on conventional timing

This is where Non-QM, DSCR, Bank Statement, and asset-based programs continue to shine.

 

The Overlooked Piece: Fed Liquidity Is Helping Stability

One under-the-radar detail from the Fed meeting is the Fed’s continued plan to buy short-term Treasury bills to maintain ample liquidity.

Why this matters to brokers:

  • Better liquidity = less volatility in long-term yields
  • Less volatility = more predictable rate environments
  • More predictability = easier borrower decision-making

For brokers structuring investor or non-traditional deals, calmer markets make it easier to lock, price, and close confidently.

 

The Trend That Hurt Brokers Has Finally Broken

For over a year, every Fed cut seemed to make mortgage pricing worse — a brutal dynamic for originators.

This time was different.

After the Fed meeting, long-term rates declined instead of climbing, breaking a pattern where the previous five cuts all led to worse mortgage pricing.

That doesn’t mean smooth sailing from here — but it does mean the relationship between Fed policy and mortgage rates is starting to behave more normally again.

 

What This Means for Your Pipeline

This shift creates real opportunities for brokers who move early:

  • Revisit stalled buyers who were confused by past rate moves
  • Re-run DSCR and Bank Statement scenarios — small pricing changes can materially improve deal structure
  • Reconnect with investors focused on cash flow and long-term strategy, not short-term noise
  • Lean on flexible underwriting when conventional timing doesn’t line up

At Acra Lending, these are exactly the scenarios we’re built for — helping brokers close deals even when the market narrative feels uncertain.

 

Looking Ahead

The next few weeks will be important. Inflation reports, Treasury auctions, and ongoing Fed commentary will determine whether this healthier alignment continues.

If inflation keeps easing and liquidity remains supportive, brokers may finally see a market where:

  • Policy signals and mortgage pricing move more in sync
  • Borrowers feel confident acting instead of waiting
  • Creative loan solutions outperform rigid guidelines

 

Bottom Line for Brokers

This wasn’t just another Fed meeting — it marked a meaningful shift in how markets are responding.

The trend that made your job harder has finally cracked.
Now’s the time to act, re-engage, and structure deals creatively — not sit on the sidelines waiting for headlines.

Acra Lending is here to help you turn this moment into closed loans.
Submit your scenario and let’s get to work.

The material contained in this newsletter has been prepared by an independent third-party provider. The content is provided for use by real estate, financial services and other professionals only and is not intended for consumer distribution. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee it is without errors.

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